CHENNAI: The political deadlock in Tamil Nadu has propelled the Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi (VCK) and its leader Tholkappiyan Thirumavalavan to the centre stage, transforming the Dalit party into the real kingmaker. Large crowds were seen gathered outside the VCK office as the party holds a position of privilege amid the ongoing negotiations to form the next government.
The situation intensified after the Governor asked Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) leader Vijay to return with the magic figure of 118 MLAs, stating that the claimant had not yet demonstrated the requisite numbers. This development shifted the entire focus onto the VCK, despite the Communist Party already extending unconditional support to keep out communal forces.
The Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) issued a letter clarifying its stance, backing the DMK in forming a democratic government but not extending support to the TVK. The IUML categorically denied reports of issuing a letter of support to Vijay’s coalition, which further strengthened VCK’s bargaining position.
Before the elections, political observers had framed Vijay as the king or kingmaker, but the current arithmetic makes it clear that Thirumavalavan and his party hold the decisive sway. A press conference is expected shortly, though it is not without its share of surrounding drama and speculation.
Adding to the confusion, AMMK leader TTV Dhinakaran alleged that his party’s Mannargudi MLA Kamaraj had been horse-traded, claiming he was unable to establish contact with the legislator and complaining to the Governor. However, MLA Kamaraj subsequently appeared and denied leaving the AMMK, refuting the allegations as false and stating the matter would be reported to appropriate authorities.
Meanwhile, reports indicate that the VCK is in a position to bargain hard. With approximately 26 MLAs belonging to the Dalit community within the TVK formation, the VCK is expected to push for strengthening its own position. There is unconfirmed speculation regarding demands for a Deputy Chief Minister post, a couple of ministerial berths, or that the Trichy seat be contested by a candidate who did not contest these elections.
The big question looming over the political landscape is whether DMK chief M.K. Stalin will continue to function as a super Chief Minister with remote control, and whether a TVK-led coalition government under Vijay will face constant pressure from allied parties that appear close to the DMK.
In another key development, the Congress party has strategically shifted its MLAs to Karnataka. Earlier reports suggesting the legislators were housed in Hyderabad were denied by the Congress unit in Hyderabad. The term of the Legislative Assembly expires on May 10, the deadline for the imposition of President’s Rule, and a swearing-in is hoped to take place before that date.
